Apologies for the delay! I am watching the first episodes of the new season.
Shocking everyone, Osaka had a lead the first hour of the match. It seemed lolibros overestimated her appeal and slept for the match. At the end of the first hour, Graf himself came and promoted the matched and asked Poast to vote for Megumin, boosting her past Osaka. Some could say he "fortified the election". Whether you think that should be legal or illegal, Megumin got the lead she needed.
Still, she doesn't have the heavy lead many were expecting, so this match is still in play.